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01-08-2019, 08:09 PM | #1 | |
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Carlos Ghosn's own statement to the court appears to implicate him in wrongdoing
So I’d like to dissect this situation with Carlos Ghosn, based on his own statement to the court.
“1.The FX Forward contractsFirst, he appears to be intentionally misleading the court using some financial terms. If his intention was to hedge the USD value of his salary that he was receiving in JPY, he would not have any “margin” to speak of. He would simply have options to purchase USD at a pre-determined rate in the future using his JPY salary. He could either exercise the option or not. Instead, he appears to have been playing FX with a highly leveraged position (money borrowed from the bank) against JPY. High risk high return. But JPY appreciated against USD to go below 80 Yen/$ during the financial crisis. The bank gave an opportunity to Ghosn, as a VIP customer, to add collateral as he was over $15M in the red in his gamble, instead of just doing a margin call, which would happen to normal people like you and me, and resulting in most if not all of Ghosn’s money being lost. So, what does he do? He has Nissan provide that financial collateral to the bank to cover the losses in his OPEN position against the Yen. I suspect that maneuver itself, ethics aside, is illegal as you cannot simply switch over ownership of an open position in the FX market to another entity, which is what is being claimed. The Japanese regulatory body found this much later during their audit. Ghosn claims to have only had two choices - either leave Nissan immediately to get his parachute to cover the losses in his open position against the Yen, or to use Nissan as his own personal piggy bank. That’s not true, he could’ve just closed his leveraged losing FX position, and taken the losses, if he didn’t have enough collateral. This is what is called margin call. He gambled and he lost. To me, it sounds like he was simply using his Nissan salary he was receiving in JPY as his play money to gamble in the FX market. When his position got squeezed, he used his status at Nissan to access Nissan’s money for his own personal use. What’s fascinating is that he would make, what appears to be, such an obvious lie to the court, because as I said if he was doing what he claims to have been doing, there’d be no leverage on the position, and he’d not owe the bank any money. He’d just opt NOT to exercise his FX forward option and use the real time exchange rate of ~80JPY/USD to get a lot more dollars for his JPY salary. He would have made MORE money instead of being down by $15M. And what’s more, he appears to not think he did anything wrong. I’m not an attorney, but it’s quite dumbfounding his attorneys allowed him to release such an obviously problematic statement that does not add up at all but rather implicates him in wrongdoing. https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2019/01/08/...nnoncence.html
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